Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
Economía y Finanzas 30.11.2023
Alejandro Werner, former director of the Western Hemisphere Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), was involved in negotiations with Argentina when the country requested a loan in May 2018. In his new book, co-authored with journalist Martín Kanenguiser, Werner reveals the tense relationship he had with future Economy Minister Javier Milei, who referred to himself as the "Messi of finance."
In an interview with LA NACION, Werner discusses the strengths and weaknesses of Milei's potential governance and shares his insights on the upcoming negotiations with the IMF. He expresses concern over Argentina's high inflation, chronic fiscal inconsistency, and frequent elections, which pose challenges for implementing effective economic policies. Werner believes that Milei will prioritize fiscal discipline, reduction of public spending, and opening up the economy. Despite the difficulties, he acknowledges that Milei has the advantage of being unburdened by political ties, allowing for potentially bold policy changes.
Regarding the negotiations with the IMF, Werner suggests that a constructive agreement could be reached relatively quickly, as long as Argentina demonstrates a commitment to fiscal responsibility and gains international support for its policies. He also mentions the possibility of accessing the IMF's resilience fund, which supports financing needs and potential balance of payment pressures arising from climate change. However, Werner notes that Milei's skepticism towards climate change could hinder access to this fund. He concludes that a successful negotiation could lead to a reduction in net payments to the IMF in 2024, but warns that without political consensus, reaching a favorable agreement will be challenging and time-consuming.
Overall, Werner's insights shed light on the complex economic landscape that Argentina faces with the new government and the potential implications for future negotiations with the IMF.
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