Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
Economía y Finanzas 27.11.2023
Marcelo Capobianco, owner of a small butcher shop on the outskirts of Buenos Aires, is feeling the impact of Argentina's economic crisis. Since his preferred candidate, Javier Milei, won the presidency, the price of meat has skyrocketed and the value of the Argentine peso has plummeted, affecting the purchasing power of his customers. With the economy already heavily reliant on the US dollar, many Argentinians buy houses and cars with stacks of $100 bills. Milei, a self-proclaimed "anarcho-capitalist," has made dollarization a central part of his radical plan to save the country's economy, along with closing the Central Bank and reducing the size of the government. However, economists warn that dollarizing the economy will be challenging without a large reserve of dollars, which the Argentine government lacks.
The current economic crisis in Argentina is a result of years of mismanagement, including excessive spending, large deficits, protectionist trade policies, complicated currency controls, and heavy reliance on printing more money. With an annual inflation rate in the triple digits and over two-fifths of Argentinians living in poverty, the situation has become unbearable for many. The government estimates that workers have received an average 92% increase in wages in the past year, but prices have risen even faster. Half of the economically active population in Argentina is part of the informal economy, and their wages have barely increased. The value of the peso has continued to decline, making it increasingly difficult for Argentinians to save money and buy dollars.
Despite the challenges, Milei plans to take office next month and pursue his goal of dollarization. However, economists argue that dollarizing the economy would deprive the country of important monetary tools, such as interest rates, to control inflation or mitigate economic recessions. Additionally, countries that have already dollarized, like Ecuador and El Salvador, continue to face difficulties in improving their economies. While some Argentinians believe in Milei's promises, skeptics question the feasibility and necessity of dollarization. The country is now facing a long and difficult road ahead as it grapples with its economic crisis.
Marcelo Capobianco, like many other business owners, is hopeful that Milei's presidency will bring change, but he acknowledges that there are tough times ahead. The weakness of the peso has impacted his business, with rising costs and a broken-down delivery truck that requires expensive imported replacement parts. Capobianco has faced a challenging year and almost had to close his shop. However, he believes that Milei's presidency represents a fresh start, even though the process of recovery may be painful.
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