Global transformation in 2025: political, economic, and technological uncertainty.

Global transformation in 2025: political, economic, and technological uncertainty.

The year 2025 will bring global transformations with the return of Trump, tensions in Ukraine, and the rise of artificial intelligence.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro

The year 2025 is shaping up to be a period of intense transformation on a global scale, with politics, economics, and technology converging at a critical point. Analysts and experts collaborating on the upcoming supplement of EXPANSIÓN anticipate a scenario filled with uncertainties, where Donald Trump's return to the White House will set the tone for a new era for the United States and its relationship with the rest of the world. This return will not only bring a change in leadership but also a reevaluation of economic and political strategies that could have international repercussions. In the realm of economics, the focus will be on how the tariff and trade policies of the United States will affect its global partners, particularly the economic dynamics of China. With the world's second-largest economy facing a series of internal challenges, including slowing growth and the restructuring of its economic model, attention will be drawn to how these tensions will influence global trade and financial stability. On the other hand, the conflict in Ukraine and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East will remain hot topics. With rising violence and escalating tensions, it is likely that the international community will be compelled to react, whether through diplomatic measures or more direct interventions. This context of instability could lead to a redefinition of alliances and defense strategies among nations, impacting global security. The political crisis in Europe is also looming on the horizon, with imminent elections in Germany and a France mired in internal tensions. The outcomes of these elections could alter the power structure within the European Union, which in turn will affect the continent's economic and social policies. The uncertainty surrounding the EU could intensify the debate over cohesion and unity among its members, at a time when cooperation is more necessary than ever. A topic that will be addressed with great interest is the impact of generative artificial intelligence on society and the business world. The rapid evolution of this technology raises fundamental questions about the nature of work, ethics in automation, and how companies will adapt to an environment changing at an unprecedented pace. The implications of artificial intelligence are not only technical but also have deep social roots that will need to be thoroughly explored. Furthermore, the fight against climate change presents itself as an ongoing challenge in this new geopolitical framework. Measures taken so far could be challenged by the economic priorities of nations in a context where growth and sustainability often appear as conflicting objectives. Discussions about the future of the environment, energy, and climate policies will become crucial, and it is likely that the international community will need to find new ways of collaboration to address these concerns. The group of experts contributing to this analysis includes prominent figures such as Daron Acemoglu, Nobel laureate in Economics, and other leading economists like Kenneth Rogoff and Barry Eichengreen. The diversity of perspectives each author brings will allow for a more comprehensive view of the challenges nations will face in the coming years. Moreover, interdisciplinary approaches from academics and analysts will enrich the debate, offering a wide spectrum of opinions and solutions. Among the topics that will arise, the rise of populism in various regions of the world and its impact on conventional politics will be explored. As societies polarize and populist movements emerge, how democracies respond to these pressures will be essential for future stability. The ability of political leaders to connect with their citizens and address their concerns will be crucial in this context. In conclusion, the EXPANSIÓN supplement to be published at the end of December will provide a deep and multifaceted analysis of what lies ahead in 2025. At a moment of global crossroads, challenges and opportunities present themselves in an intertwined manner, and the ability of leaders and societies to adapt to and anticipate these changes will be decisive for the future. The attentive gaze of analysts, academics, and politicians will be fundamental to navigating the turbulent waters that lie ahead.

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