Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
As the world faces the ongoing challenges of infectious diseases, experts are increasingly concerned about a myriad of potential threats that could lead to another global health crisis by 2025. At the forefront of these worries is the ominously termed "Disease X," a placeholder for any unidentified pathogen capable of sparking widespread outbreaks or even a pandemic. Alongside it on the list of 11 diseases that have raised alarms among medical professionals are measles, cholera, scabies, bird flu, and the persistent threat of COVID-19. Dr. Michael Head, a Senior Research Fellow in Global Health at the University of Southampton, has issued a stark warning about the risks posed by Disease X, particularly following a recent surge of illness in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where an unidentified disease claimed at least 31 lives, primarily among children. The World Health Organization (WHO) has previously recognized the risk of unknown pathogens, highlighting the urgent need for research and preparedness. Dr. Head emphasizes that the world remains ill-equipped to handle sudden outbreaks, a reality made painfully clear during the COVID-19 pandemic. Measles continues to be a significant threat, particularly for children under five, with over 107,000 deaths reported globally in 2023 alone. The infection, which is highly contagious and can linger in the air for up to two hours, has seen vaccination rates drop from 86% in 2019 to 83% in 2023, a trend that worries health professionals. Dr. Head advocates for increased immunization efforts, stressing that with high vaccine uptake, measles could be eradicated similarly to smallpox. Meanwhile, COVID-19 is far from over. Recent developments have seen the emergence of new variants, such as the XEC strain, causing hospital admissions to rise sharply. Health authorities like the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) continue to stress the importance of vaccination and monitoring, as the virus evolves and remains a significant threat to public health. The threat of cholera is also looming, especially with climate change influencing migration patterns and water quality. Cholera, which can lead to death within hours if untreated, is still predominantly found in Africa and Asia, but experts warn of potential surges in Europe. Bird flu, with its capability of mutation and transmission to humans, remains a constant concern, particularly for those in close contact with poultry. In addition to these infections, mosquito-borne diseases have been flagged as rising threats. Dengue fever, known as the "bone breaker" disease for its debilitating pain, is spreading beyond its traditional confines in South America and Southeast Asia to southern Europe, a consequence of climate change. Chikungunya, another viral infection transmitted by mosquitoes, is also anticipated to rise, with scientists closely monitoring the situation. Antimicrobial resistance poses a dire challenge as well, with bacteria evolving to withstand treatment, making infections harder to manage and increasing the risk of severe outcomes. The UKHSA has reported a significant rise in cases of antibiotic-resistant E. coli, prompting urgent calls for responsible medication practices. The resurgence of whooping cough has raised alarms, particularly given the concerning number of infant fatalities in the UK. With confirmed cases surpassing 10,000 in recent months, health officials stress the importance of vaccination for pregnant women and young children to protect the most vulnerable. Finally, the uptick in scabies cases, particularly in institutional settings, signals the need for increased awareness and treatment measures. The rise, especially pronounced in northern England, underscores the ongoing need for vigilance against a variety of infectious diseases. As we approach 2025, the collective message from health experts is clear: the world must remain alert and proactive in combating existing health threats and preparing for potential new ones. With the lessons learned from previous pandemics, a concerted effort towards vaccination, research, and public health preparedness is essential to safeguard against the next infectious disease crisis.