Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
The presidential race in the United States has taken an unexpected turn with the launch of Kamala Harris's candidacy, who has managed to position herself ahead of Donald Trump in three key states: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. These states, crucial for any presidential aspiration, are now the stage for an electoral battle that promises to be fierce and high-intensity. Meanwhile, Trump's campaign has downplayed the relevance of a recent New York Times poll, suggesting that its release aims to dissuade support for the former president. Despite this disdain, the data indicates that Harris's perception among voters is remarkably positive. The majority considers her honest, intelligent, and capable of leading the country, while her image does not come across as excessively liberal, which could attract a broader spectrum of undecided voters. In a recent appearance in Arizona, before a crowd of 15,000 people, Harris called on the Hispanic community by criticizing Trump for blocking key immigration reform initiatives. Her message seeks not only to address immigration issues but also to position herself as a leader who understands the needs of diverse communities in the United States. This strategy aligns with her intention to forge a stronger connection with an electorate that has historically been important for Democrats. Trump, for his part, has chosen to focus on other states and has dismissed the possibility of Biden resuming his campaign. In a recent speech in Montana, he suggested that the current Democratic president might be considering re-election, which indicates a strategy of distraction rather than direct confrontation with Harris. However, this tactic may be proving ineffective given the dynamism Harris has brought to the race. Political analysts like Juan Pablo Toro point out that the rapid consolidation of support for Harris within the Democratic Party has been key to her rise. The former attorney general has been able to quickly mobilize resources and alliances, allowing her to present a strong front against a Trump facing multiple legal and image challenges. The narrative of the "prosecutor against the criminal" is clear and resonant in an electorate that is beginning to question Trump's viability as a candidate. Furthermore, age has shifted from being an attack point against Biden to becoming a weakness for Trump. At 78 years old, the comparison with the younger Harris (59 years) presents a new paradigm in which voters may consider the leadership capabilities of these candidates through a different lens, favoring the new generation represented by Harris. As Republicans seek to attack Harris from progressive flanks, the vice president's campaign appears to be well-structured to dismantle those criticisms, appealing to common sense and practicality in her proposals. The perception that Harris represents a necessary and refreshing change could work in her favor as election day approaches. The political and economic uncertainty facing the country, including recent unemployment data and international tensions, could influence voters in unexpected ways. Toro warns that campaign times in the United States are unpredictable, and one week can mean a radical change in the dynamics of the race. With U.S. aircraft carriers in the Middle East and heated debates over domestic policies, the electoral landscape presents itself more as a marathon than a sprint. Despite optimistic projections for Harris, the New York Times notes that her new position will subject her to greater scrutiny. While she has thus far enjoyed favorable media coverage and popular support, the capability of Trump’s adversaries to launch attacks that could undermine her image should not be underestimated. As the race progresses, the question remains: will Harris's strong numbers hold, or are they simply a temporary phenomenon? The answer may be defined in the coming months as both candidates intensify their efforts to capture the attention and support of voters in this complex and competitive political landscape.