Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
Tax collection in Peru has experienced a notable slowdown during the month of July, marking a decrease of 3.5%. This decline represents the largest drop in a 15-month period, raising concerns among economists, officials, and analysts in the sector. However, despite this reduction in revenue, there has been an increase in the taxes that workers must pay, suggesting a complex dynamic that requires deeper analysis. In the same vein, data reveals that income tax payments from foreign investors have increased by 31% in the first seven months of the year, primarily driven by the sale of shares in companies operating in the country. This phenomenon could indicate that, despite the overall decline in tax collection, certain sectors of the market remain attractive to foreign investors. Luis Miguel Castilla, Minister of Economy, emphasized that one should not panic over a single data point and that the alleged end of the "Peruvian miracle" is, in his view, "absolutely false." The employment situation has also shown signs of recovery, with the generation of approximately 33,000 formal jobs in the last quarter, in addition to 195,600 informal jobs. This growth has been primarily observed in the coastal areas, the northern and central highlands, as well as in the jungle, suggesting that the economy has the capacity to recover after the difficulties faced in previous months. In terms of economic growth, a 2.62% increase was reported in June, and the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) anticipates that performance in July will be even better. Despite fluctuations in tax collection, there has been an increase in labor income over the last 12 months, which has grown by S/ 35.8. This increase, although modest, shows that many workers are experiencing a real improvement in their working and salary conditions. However, economic uncertainty persists, and the government's ability to implement effective policies will be crucial in the coming months. In another area, the National Superintendence of Labor Inspection (SUNAFIL) is seeking a way to finance its operations through the collection of fines. The agency aims to formalize 348,000 workers during the year and plans to increase its inspector workforce to 1,000 by 2024. To date, SUNAFIL has conducted 45,520 inspections and imposed fines totaling S/448,290,681 in various instances. SUNAFIL's focus on formalizing work is fundamental, not only to protect workers' rights but also to increase the country's tax base. The formalization of employment could be a way to mitigate the decline in tax collection observed, by building a more robust labor system that is less susceptible to tax evasion. The link between labor formalization and tax collection is undeniable and will be crucial for the country's economic future. The current situation in Peru presents a significant challenge for the government and economic authorities. The combination of declining tax revenue and growth in foreign investment could result in a contradictory scenario that will require effective counter-cyclical policies to stabilize the economy. Implementing appropriate measures could help reverse the decline in tax collection and ensure that economic growth remains on a positive trajectory. In this context, it is vital to generate open dialogues among the government, businesses, and workers. Only through collaboration and mutual understanding can strategies be designed that not only address the decline in tax collection but also strengthen the country’s economic fabric. Adaptability and innovation will be key in this process, and the role of institutions will be decisive in facilitating change. The Peruvian economy faces challenges and opportunities in this new context, and the response to these factors will be crucial for the country’s future. With an optimistic yet realistic outlook, the way forward demands a collective commitment to build a stronger, more resilient, and prosperous Peru.