Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
The recent wildfires in Los Angeles have revealed a crisis that extends far beyond the flames and smoke engulfing the city. With lives lost and damages estimated to reach hundreds of billions of dollars, it is imperative that a thorough and independent investigation be conducted to address the multifaceted causes of this disaster. The rhetoric surrounding the fires has been characterized by finger-pointing among officials, with California Governor Gavin Newsom and President-elect Donald Trump exchanging accusations about the origins of the crisis. Yet, as an engineering professor with over four decades of experience in studying extreme events and disasters, I contend that a deeper, more substantive response is essential. This is not merely a matter of assigning blame but rather about understanding the underlying factors that led to such devastation. Various issues have been proposed as contributing to the wildfires, ranging from mismanaged water resources and firefighting budget cuts to climate-driven dry conditions. These challenges are exacerbated by rumors and conspiracy theories that cloud the discussion rather than clarify it. The complexity of the situation demands a rigorous examination, akin to those conducted after other significant disasters in the country. In the past, major events like the Fukushima nuclear accident, the Three Mile Island meltdown, and the BP Deepwater Horizon explosion have all been subject to high-level reviews that have produced valuable insights into systemic failures. These investigations have underscored the critical role of human factors in disasters and how organizational shortcomings can lead to catastrophic outcomes, regardless of nature's initial impact. For instance, the Fukushima incident was deemed a "manmade disaster," highlighting that while natural events triggered the crisis, the scale of devastation was primarily attributed to failures at the utility and governmental levels. Similarly, the President's Commission on the Three Mile Island accident found that inadequate operator training and confusion among procedures were significant culprits. The wildfires in Los Angeles necessitate a comparable examination. U.S. Senator Adam Schiff has already called for such a review, emphasizing the need for a technically sound, multidisciplinary, and independent investigation. It is crucial that this review be free from political biases and vested interests, ensuring a holistic understanding of the events. While Governor Newsom has initiated an inquiry into the water supply issues affecting firefighting efforts, this approach is inherently limited. Localized investigations may overlook the broader implications of the fires and the interconnectedness of various factors that contributed to the disaster. To facilitate a comprehensive investigation, the Trump administration and Congress could enlist the expertise of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Established by President Abraham Lincoln, these organizations are renowned for their objective assessments of complex issues. Their studies are typically helmed by distinguished experts and undergo rigorous peer review, ensuring credibility and scientific accuracy. As the nation grapples with increasingly frequent climate-induced extreme events, the Los Angeles fires should serve as a clarion call for a paradigm shift in public policy. With communities across the U.S. facing unprecedented challenges, it is imperative to rethink approaches to hazard assessment, risk management, and emergency response. A national, nonpartisan investigation into the Los Angeles fires could provide essential insights not only for the affected region but also for communities nationwide. By identifying shortcomings and offering targeted recommendations, such a study could help reframe how municipalities prepare for and respond to future disasters. In light of the growing frequency of extreme weather events, it is increasingly clear that without proactive measures and comprehensive planning, the cost of complacency will be measured in both lives and livelihoods. The time for action is now, and the lessons learned from this disaster could illuminate the path forward for a more resilient society.