Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
The current economic context in Europe is marked by the ongoing fluctuation of the Euribor, the key indicator that affects millions of mortgage holders in Spain. Yesterday, this rate closed at 2.474%, marking an increase that has occurred for the second consecutive day. This upward trend represents a new challenge for families with variable-rate mortgages, who will see an increase in their payments in the upcoming review. The Euribor, the interest rate at which banks lend money to each other in the interbank market, is a crucial thermometer of the economy's health. This index, which has several variations, is particularly relevant in its 12-month form, as it has the greatest impact on the variable-rate mortgages currently in circulation in Spain. On the other hand, the 3-month Euribor plays a fundamental role as an indicator of the overall interbank market, in addition to being linked to various financial products. The recent rise in the Euribor may seem paradoxical in the context of the European Central Bank's (ECB) decisions, which have opted to lower interest rates, bringing the deposit rate down to 3%. This decision aims to provide relief to the real economy, which has been struggling against the high cost of financing that reached a peak in October 2023, when the Euribor hit 4.16%. However, these monetary easing policies have not managed to contain the rise of the Euribor, raising questions about the effectiveness of these measures in an unstable economic environment. Families with variable-rate mortgages are feeling the immediate impact of this situation. With the Euribor on the rise, the next review of their payments could translate into a significant increase in their monthly burden. For many, this could mean additional financial difficulties amidst a scenario already complicated by inflation and the cost of living. Recent figures show a clear upward trend that could have collateral effects on consumption and family savings. Families that previously enjoyed lower payments, thanks to prudent management of the Euribor, must now prepare for an increase that could destabilize their household budgets. This economic pressure may lead to a reduction in consumption, which in turn could affect the economic recovery that is being sought through the ECB's policies. One aspect to consider is that the housing market could also be adversely affected in this context. An increase in interest rates could cool demand for new mortgages, which could influence real estate market prices. A higher interest rate environment may cause many potential buyers to hold back, potentially leading to a slowdown in the sector. Economists warn that this situation requires constant vigilance. If the Euribor continues in this direction, not only will the mortgage sector be affected, but the implications could extend to the economy as a whole. The link between interest rates and economic activity is undeniable, and the ECB's decisions in this regard will be crucial in the coming months. It is essential for consumers to be informed about the implications of the Euribor on their personal finances. Financial education becomes critical in times like this, as the decisions made now can have a long-term impact. In conclusion, the rise of the Euribor and the recent rate cuts by the ECB present a complex and evolving economic landscape. Families must prepare for uncertain times, while policymakers will need to closely monitor the situation to prevent the increase in interest rates from stifling the economic recovery that has been so sought after in Europe. The interconnectedness of different economic factors makes this a matter of crucial importance today.