"Kamala Harris leads Latino support in poll, but concerns persist."

"Kamala Harris leads Latino support in poll, but concerns persist."

A survey reveals that 59% of Latino voters prefer Kamala Harris, although they have concerns about the cost of living.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro
Politics 05.09.2024

In an electoral context that is heating up as the U.S. presidential elections approach, a recent poll has revealed that 59% of Latino voters prefer current Vice President Kamala Harris, in contrast to the 31% who support former President Donald Trump. This significant backing for Harris could be a crucial factor in the development of the contest, especially considering that Latino voters are an increasingly influential demographic in the U.S. political landscape. The poll, conducted by BSP Research for UnidosUS, surveyed 3,000 Latino voters across several key states, including Arizona, California, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Texas. These states are considered swing states, meaning they do not consistently lean toward one party and can decide the electoral outcome by a narrow margin. The margin of error for the poll is estimated at 1.8%, giving it a significant level of reliability. One of the most relevant findings is that, although the majority of Latino voters lean toward Harris, many express that neither candidate effectively addresses their primary concern: the cost of living. Inflation, particularly regarding food, gasoline, and housing, as well as the quest for job security and decent wages, are priority issues for this electorate. This dissatisfaction translates into widespread skepticism about the candidates' ability to resolve these pressing problems. In terms of immigration policies, Latino voters show a clear desire for a pathway to citizenship for those who have been in the country for years, as well as for "dreamers," that is, those who arrived in the U.S. as children. Additionally, there is growing concern about the need for effective measures against human and drug trafficking, indicating that migration and security are high on this group's agenda. Another important aspect addressed in the poll is the stance on abortion. A notable 71% of Latino voters oppose the criminalization of abortion, reflecting a clear trend toward supporting women's reproductive rights. This data is significant in a context where women's rights are under intense scrutiny and debate. However, despite being a relevant electoral group, the poll reveals that 55% of Latino voters have not been contacted by any political parties. This fact highlights a troubling disconnect between politicians and this crucial electorate. The lack of communication could have a direct impact on voter participation, especially considering that 61% of Latinos who plan to vote intend to do so early or by mail. Janet Murguia, president of UnidosUS, emphasized the importance of registering Latino voters, noting that when given the opportunity to register, they tend to participate. However, the lack of interest in increasing the number of registered Hispanics is an evident concern that could influence the 2024 elections. Looking ahead, both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump must seriously consider how they are approaching this electorate. With 23% of Latino voters about to exercise their right to vote for the first time, it is imperative that candidates effectively address their needs and concerns if they wish to increase their support. The poll not only offers a glimpse into the current electoral landscape but also highlights the need for a more committed and sensitive approach toward Latino communities in the U.S. as the election approaches. Ignoring the voice of this important group could result in significant electoral costs for parties seeking the presidency. In conclusion, while Latino voters show a clear preference for Kamala Harris, they also express doubts about whether he or any other candidate will be able to address the issues that most affect them. The uncertainty surrounding the cost of living and immigration policies remains a critical point that candidates must confront if they want to win the support of this key population. In a few months, the outcome of these elections could largely depend on how these concerns are addressed in the lead-up to Election Day.

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