Political and economic crisis in Peru following the revelation of audios from Minister Santiváñez.

The political and economic climate of the country is agitated by the recent revelation of recordings involving the Minister of the Interior, Juan José Santiváñez, and Junior Izquierdo, a captain in the National Police of Peru. These recordings, made in a chifa (a Chinese-Peruvian restaurant), suggest that Santiváñez's entry into the ministerial cabinet was conditioned on the elimination of a specialized police unit, the Diviac, known for its investigations into organized crime. Although the minister has denied the authenticity of the recordings, Izquierdo's defense has confirmed that they are genuine and is willing to cooperate in the relevant investigations. This scandal has raised a series of questions about integrity and decision-making within Dina Boluarte's cabinet. Amid this political storm, Prime Minister Gustavo Adrianzén has offered support to Santiváñez, providing some stability despite the uncertainty surrounding the Ministry of the Interior. However, other cabinet ministers have expressed greater vulnerability to the possibility of being replaced or even merged. The situation is further complicated by the fact that insecurity and crime remain fundamental issues for the public, who watch with concern as these events unfold. On the other hand, the Judiciary is facing its own battle regarding new laws that limit the concept of organized crime. Judge Jorge Luis Chávez Tamariz has opted for a control of conventionality that prioritizes international treaties, while the nation's prosecutor has approached Congress to urge against passing a law that would reduce investigative powers. These tensions between the Judiciary and other government sectors could have significant repercussions in the fight against crime. In the economic realm, the situation of Petroperú has become another hot topic on the government’s agenda. The board of the state-owned company has issued a statement outlining the urgent need to make decisions about its future: whether to continue with state contributions, accept its bankruptcy, or restructure it with assistance from a foreign firm. The lack of action on this issue has led to criticism of the government for its apparent inaction in the face of a crisis that could affect thousands of workers and the national economy. The Minister of Economy and Finance, Alex Arista, has announced the imminent presentation of the Budget Law for 2025, which is described as more realistic and aligned with economic growth projections. However, the expected growth is lower than that of the previous year, which could lead to tensions during negotiations with the various congressional factions and with regional and local authorities. Pressures from various sectors, including unions and workers' organizations, are also to be expected. Dina Boluarte, in her effort to calm the waters, has shown willingness to listen to and address the demands of affected sectors. However, this approach has generated criticism, as some believe that priority is being given to certain groups at the expense of others that also require attention. The growing dissatisfaction among groups such as the Sutep teachers, who have initiated strikes, highlights the difficulties the government faces in balancing social demands. Meanwhile, informal workers, who represent a large part of the Peruvian economy, remain excluded from discussions on tax policy and development. Government initiatives, although well-intentioned, often do not reach this sector, which could lead to increased social discontent. The situation could also improve with the pension system reform being negotiated among the AFP (private pension fund managers), the Ministry of Economy and Finance, and the 'Block' factions. This reform could extend to independent workers, a necessary step to address the inequities of the current system. However, uncertainty about its implementation and the unstable economic context raise doubts about its viability. In conclusion, the country is at a critical juncture where the decisions made in the coming days and weeks could have lasting repercussions on politics, the economy, and the well-being of the population. The interconnection between political scandals, the situation of Petroperú, and social demands creates a complicated landscape that will require the political skill of Dina Boluarte and her cabinet to navigate turbulent waters. The ability of this administration to respond to the challenges it faces will determine its future and that of the Peruvian people.