Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
A recent survey from Suffolk University has revealed surprising data that could significantly impact the upcoming presidential elections in the United States. Published this Thursday, the survey shows that Vice President Kamala Harris has gained a considerable advantage over former President Donald Trump among Latino voters, with a 16-point lead. This shift in support has occurred following President Biden's withdrawal from his candidacy and his subsequent nomination of Harris as the leading candidate. The survey was conducted between August 25 and 28 across all 50 states and the District of Columbia, encompassing a total of 1,000 registered voters. The results indicate that Vice President Harris has the support of 47.6%, while Trump stands at 43.3%. This trend highlights a notable change in the dynamics of the presidential race, especially among a group of voters that has historically been influential in the U.S. electoral landscape. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, noted in a statement that support for Harris has grown among various demographic groups. In particular, young people, people of color, and those from low-income households have shown a significant shift towards the Vice President. This phenomenon could be crucial at a time when youth participation and minority support are essential for defining electoral outcomes. The survey also reveals a dramatic change in the perception of young voters, who previously favored Trump. In June, the former president had an 11-point advantage among voters aged 18 to 34. However, by August, that landscape has changed, with Harris now leading by 13 points, representing an astonishing 24-point shift in just two months. The situation is equally notable among lower-income voters. This group, which used to lean towards Trump, has drastically changed course. In June, the Republican candidate was ahead of the Democrats in this segment by 3 points, but now Harris has managed to establish a 23-point lead, indicating a radical shift in the perception of Democratic policies among these voters. Additionally, the Vice President has achieved a significant boost in support from Black voters, a group that has historically aligned with the Democratic Party. The survey shows that Harris has increased her backing in this segment by 17 points, which could be decisive in her quest for the White House. However, despite these positive changes for the Vice President, the electoral landscape is not completely defined. About 4.8% of voters remain undecided, meaning there is still a significant portion of the population that could sway the balance in the election scheduled for November 5. This group of undecided voters is vital, as it could be the determining factor in what is expected to be a close electoral contest. Migration, a hot topic in the electoral campaign, has become one of the main points of attack against Harris. Immigration policies and her approach to the Latino community will be key to seeing if this support translates into votes on election day. Latino voters, who have expressed concerns about immigration policy, could play a fundamental role in the final decision. The change in voter preferences not only reflects a moment of uncertainty in American politics but also demonstrates how Kamala Harris's figure has resonated with citizens in a context of growing diversity and social change. As the elections approach, it will be essential to observe how this dynamic evolves and whether Harris can maintain or even increase her lead among Latino voters and other key groups. Thus, as we move toward election day, candidates will need to focus on strategies that address the concerns of Latino, young, and low-income voters if they want to secure a place in the White House. Against the backdrop of an increasingly competitive presidential race, the results of this survey serve as an indication of the path the electorate may take in the coming months.