Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
In the current context of Peru, there is a renewed optimism in economic projections, albeit with shades of caution. According to a recent analysis by Apoyo Consultoría, there are signs of an increase in the importation of machinery and equipment, which could be interpreted as an indication of recovery in productive sectors. This growth in imports of capital goods, which reached US$100 million in February, marks the beginning of an upward trend that could have positive repercussions for the national economy. However, Scotiabank warns that it is premature to celebrate victory. Despite the encouraging data, uncertainties persist that could affect the sustainability of this recovery. The Peruvian economy has faced significant challenges in recent years, and while the Peruvian Institute of Economy (IPE) has declared that the country has already emerged from recession, analysts suggest that caution should be maintained and economic indicators should continue to be closely monitored. The economic landscape is complemented by actions that the Commission of Economy is promoting to encourage private investment. Authorities have expressed their commitment to the approval of projects aimed at incentivizing the flow of capital into strategic sectors. These initiatives are crucial, considering that private investment has been a fundamental driver of economic growth and job creation in the country. In a different but equally relevant context, regulatory decisions that have set the tone in the Peruvian financial system are recalled. Ten years ago, on August 20, 2014, a project from the Superintendency of Banking was announced, aiming to oversee transfers in banks exceeding US$1,000. The measure aimed to intensify the fight against money laundering, requiring financial entities to verify the identity of those sending and receiving money, as well as to record transactions over US$10,000 for a decade. Five years later, on August 20, 2019, changes were introduced in the regulations for Pension Fund Administrators (AFP). The new regulation made the process of disaffiliation more difficult for those who decided to move to the Office of Normalization (ONP) after withdrawing 95.5% of their funds or 25% for mortgage loans. This change sparked a debate about the sustainability of pension systems in the country, as it affected more than 160,000 individuals disaffiliated under the previous regulation. Thus, a pattern emerges where, despite reforms and advancements, Peruvians find themselves in a constantly evolving economic environment. Government and regulatory decisions have a direct impact on citizens' confidence in the financial system and in the economy as a whole. The current situation invites reflection on the importance of maintaining a balance between regulation and promoting a favorable environment for investment. Without an adequate regulatory framework, it is difficult to guarantee long-term economic stability. On the other hand, excessive regulation could stifle private initiative and innovation, which are key elements for sustained economic growth. In conclusion, Peru is going through a crucial moment in its economic development. The signs of improvement in imports of machinery and the commitment from authorities to stimulate investment are encouraging. However, it is essential to remain vigilant to the challenges that still persist and to work together to foster a robust and sustainable economic environment. Recent history reminds us that changes in policies, while necessary, can have unforeseen effects that require careful analysis and an adaptive approach.