Kamala Harris leads the polls against Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race.

Kamala Harris leads the polls against Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race.

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in polls for the 2024 elections, although the competition remains tight and polarized.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro
Politics 19.08.2024

The race for the 2024 presidential elections in the United States is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent history, with Vice President Kamala Harris taking the lead over former President Donald Trump, according to various polls published this Sunday. These results offer an intriguing landscape as both candidates prepare for a contest that is expected to be fierce and divisive. The poll conducted by ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos highlights Harris with a notable 50% support compared to Trump’s 45%. This five-point margin, while relatively narrow, shows a favorable trend for the Vice President, especially in the current context where politics and the economy have become hot topics among American voters. However, it is relevant to mention that despite this advantage, Harris does not surpass Trump in critical areas such as economic management and immigration, factors that historically play a crucial role in voters' decisions. Meanwhile, the same poll indicates that although Harris has an overall advantage, among registered voters the margin narrows to 49% versus 45%. This figure suggests that support for both candidates could fluctuate as the election date approaches. Additionally, among potential voters, Harris also positions favorably with 51% compared to Trump’s 45%, which may indicate her ability to mobilize voters. Data from the consulting firm Ipsos, along with the average compiled by the FiveThirtyEight platform, reflect how closely contested this electoral process is expected to be. In the FiveThirtyEight average, Harris leads Trump by a slightly higher margin of 2.6 percentage points, reinforcing the perception that the contest is wide open and that anything could happen in the coming months. On the other hand, the aggregate of polls published by The Hill/Decision Desk also shows Harris ahead, albeit narrowly, with 49% against Trump’s 47%. These figures suggest that while Harris is in a favorable position, the competition remains intense and any strategic misstep by either candidate could alter this balance in votes. The situation is particularly significant in the context of the upcoming Democratic National Convention, where Harris is preparing to officially accept her nomination. This event will not only be a crucial moment for Harris's campaign but could also be a determining factor in consolidating her support among undecided voters and those who have yet to make their preference known. The Democratic duo, composed of Harris and her running mate, Governor Tim Waltz, has managed to reverse the negative perceptions surrounding President Joe Biden's administration when he himself was a candidate. This can be interpreted as a sign of the Democratic Party's resilience in the face of current challenges. As the elections approach, attention will focus on how Harris and Trump address issues such as the economy, security, and immigration, which are essential for capturing voters' interest. The way each candidate presents themselves and argues their proposals will be vital in determining who will connect better with the electoral base. The electoral landscape continues to evolve, and although Harris currently has the lead, history has shown that in American politics, fluctuations in support are common. The coming months will be crucial, and both Harris and Trump will need to adapt to a political environment characterized by volatility and polarization. The contest will intensify, and voters will have the opportunity to evaluate both candidates and their visions for the future of the country. With the arrival of the election season, the stage promises to be a battlefield where every vote will count and where the analysis of polls will be more important than ever. The future of the U.S. presidency could depend on how events unfold in the coming weeks and months.

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