Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
In an unprecedented development, the Japan Meteorological Agency has issued a warning about the possibility of a 'megathrust earthquake' that could have a devastating impact not only on its territory but also on several countries in the Americas and Asia. This warning comes after the 7.1 magnitude earthquake that shook the Hyuga-Nada region on August 8, leaving nine people injured and triggering a tsunami alert that affected areas near the epicenter. The magnitude of the potential megathrust earthquake is estimated to be between 8 and 9 on the Richter scale, with a probability of occurrence of 70% to 80% in the next 30 years. This alert is the first of its kind in Japan's history and has been communicated directly to the population through messages on their cell phones and television broadcasts. The measure aims to prepare citizens for what could be a catastrophic seismic event. Experts have indicated that the recent earthquake could be a precursor to a large magnitude earthquake in the Nankai Trough, a geologically active area that extends from Tokyo to Kyushu. This zone is known for its potential to generate severe earthquakes, a phenomenon that has historically occurred every 100 to 200 years. The earthquakes recorded in 1944 and 1946, both with magnitudes of 8.1, are remembered for their devastating impact, with thousands of lives lost. Concerns about this megathrust earthquake are not limited to Japan. The Geophysical Institute of Peru has warned that an event of such magnitude could have repercussions in several countries, including Mexico, the United States, Canada, Chile, Peru, Australia, and the Philippines. Although seismic waves would not directly reach the American continent, the magnitude of a megathrust earthquake in this region could disrupt wave patterns in the Pacific Ocean, increasing the risk of tsunamis in coastal areas. In the case of Mexico, while no official statement has been issued by the authorities, it has been noted that coastal states on the Pacific, such as Oaxaca and Guerrero, have experienced recent earthquakes, albeit with magnitudes below 5 on the Richter scale. The possibility of increased seismic activity keeps the population alert, even though many feel secure in their daily routines. Japanese authorities have urged their population to remain calm and follow disaster prevention recommendations. Constant monitoring of seismic activity in the region is being conducted, and drills are being prepared to ensure that the population is ready in case of an unexpected event. It is imperative that the governments of potentially affected countries take note of this alert and strengthen their disaster preparedness and response programs. Education and awareness about seismic risks should be a priority, especially in vulnerable areas that may not be prepared for the magnitude of a megathrust earthquake. Scientists continue to study the behavior of tectonic plates in the Nankai Trough and other seismic zones around the planet. International cooperation in earthquake research and the dissemination of information can be crucial in mitigating the impact of these natural phenomena. The current situation also raises questions about infrastructure and community resilience in the face of potential disasters. The construction of buildings and urban planning must take seismic risk into account, especially in countries with a high propensity for earthquakes. In summary, the alert issued by Japan regarding the megathrust earthquake is a chilling reminder of the unpredictable nature of our planet. It is a call to action not only for Japan but for the entire world, to prepare, educate, and remain vigilant against the dangers posed by seismic activity.