Political crisis in Venezuela: Maduro's struggle against the opposition and geopolitics.

The political situation in Venezuela has been profoundly influenced by the dynamics of geopolitics, where Nicolás Maduro's leadership remains steadfast despite increasing internal and external pressures. The regime's alliance with powers such as Russia, China, and Iran has provided significant backing that challenges the sanctions imposed by the United States and other Western nations. This interdependence is not merely a local phenomenon but is situated within a broader framework of global rivalries among major powers seeking to increase their influence in Latin America. The recent post-electoral crisis in Venezuela, following the elections on July 28, reflects not only the complexity of international actors but also the persistent authoritarian structure of Maduro's regime. By uninviting the European Union and disqualifying key opposition figures, a clear strategy has emerged from the government to consolidate its political control. This strategy is further compounded by the manipulation of electoral processes, where the judiciary, the electoral authority, and the armed forces play a crucial role in perpetuating the current state. The disqualification of María Corina Machado, one of the most recognized figures in the Venezuelan opposition, and the obstacles to the electoral participation of millions of Venezuelans abroad, make it evident that the regime has no intention of allowing fair competition. This framework has been further intensified by the escalation of nationalist rhetoric surrounding the territorial dispute with Guyana, which not only seeks to divert attention from the internal crisis but has also become an element of national cohesion in times of adversity. Throughout his mandate, Maduro has demonstrated a remarkable ability to manipulate state institutions. The creation of a parallel Constituent Assembly in 2017 is a clear example of the institutional violence exerted to strip the National Assembly of its power. Such maneuvers have established a pattern in which democratic rights are systematically violated, and respect for electoral integrity is called into question. The international community watches with concern as polarization and political confrontation in Venezuela intensify. Despite efforts made by countries like Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia to open channels for dialogue, the possibility of a political transition remains uncertain. The removal of legal obstacles for Maduro, such as the lifting of his arrest warrant by the United States, could be a necessary but insufficient condition to facilitate change in the country. The current situation raises questions about the future of the opposition and the ability of international actors to influence the course of Venezuela. The unity of the opposition, which has surprised many, could be a starting point for change, but Maduro's regime does not appear willing to cede power without significant struggle. The conditions for true democracy are, at this moment, almost nonexistent. With a narrative that has turned Venezuela into what some call "the Syria of America," the humanitarian crisis continues to deepen. The massive exodus of Venezuelans has overflowed borders and represents a challenge not only for the country but also for the region as a whole. The possibility that other leftist governments in Latin America could find a peaceful solution to this dilemma presents a monumental task. As these events unfold, it is crucial for the international community to maintain pressure on Maduro's regime. The lack of a genuine commitment from the government to address human rights concerns and electoral integrity jeopardizes any significant progress toward democracy. Elections must be more than a symbolic exercise; they must reflect the will of the Venezuelan people. The path to a stable and democratic Venezuela is complex and fraught with obstacles. However, history has shown that authoritarian regimes can be challenged and eventually defeated. The future of Venezuela will depend not only on the resilience of its people but also on the ability of international actors to collaborate and seek effective solutions that promote dialogue and reconciliation. In conclusion, geopolitics and internal politics are intricately intertwined in the Venezuelan reality. Maduro's figure as an authoritarian leader remains firm, but power dynamics are in constant evolution. The international community has a crucial role to play in seeking a peaceful and democratic resolution to this crisis that has dragged on for far too long.