Tension and anticipation in Venezuela ahead of key elections on July 28.

Tension and anticipation in Venezuela ahead of key elections on July 28.

The electoral atmosphere in Venezuela is intensifying ahead of July 28, with Maduro and González Urrutia competing in a climate of tension and uncertainty.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro
Politics 28.07.2024

The pre-electoral atmosphere in Venezuela has intensified as July 28 approaches, the day citizens must decide between continuing under the leadership of President Nicolás Maduro or opting for the change promised by opposition candidate Edmundo González Urrutia. With a population that has endured one of the most severe economic crises in recent history, the country is engulfed in deep uncertainty and tension, creating a breeding ground for potential unrest. President Maduro, seeking a third term, has concluded his campaign with a speech aimed at appealing for unity and peace, arguing that his victory is synonymous with stability. However, his warnings of a possible "massacre" if the opposition wins have raised alarms both nationally and internationally, reinforcing the idea that the electoral scenario could spiral into violence if the results are not managed properly. On the other hand, González Urrutia, who has been catapulted to political fame by former congresswoman María Corina Machado, represents an alternative that many Venezuelans see as an opportunity for change. At 74 years old, the diplomat has promised reconciliation and the possibility for more than 7 million Venezuelans who have fled the country to return. His message of "freedom" and "development" has resonated with an electorate weary of the crisis that has marked the last decade. Polls, although questioned by the government, show a discouraging outlook for Maduro. The opposition, aware of the challenge they face, has implemented a meticulous plan to safeguard the votes, with polling station witnesses playing a crucial role in monitoring the electoral process. Citizen participation is seen as a key factor, and the sentiment among opponents is that every vote counts in the fight for the country's future. With nearly 21 million people registered to vote, it is estimated that only around 17 million will be able to cast their ballots in the country. This raises questions about the opposition's ability to mobilize its base, especially in light of fears of a new cycle of repression and violence that could follow the electoral results. The threats and heated rhetoric from both sides have exacerbated the climate of fear and distrust among the population. The elections have implications not only for Venezuelans but are also being closely watched by the international community. Leaders from Brazil and Chile have expressed concern over Maduro's incendiary rhetoric. The statements from these heads of state underscore the need for the electoral process to be transparent and fair, a requirement that many analysts consider essential for ensuring stability in the region. Meanwhile, the stance of the United States is clear: a call for moderation and a persistent rejection of violence. Washington, which has historically had a tense relationship with Maduro's regime, has maintained its position of not recognizing the 2018 elections, labeling them fraudulent. In this context, the Biden administration has warned that political repression and violence are unacceptable while offering economic incentives contingent on real change in the Venezuelan government. However, the future of the country remains uncertain. Observers and analysts suggest that it is unlikely Maduro will peacefully relinquish power, even if the results indicate a defeat. Venezuela's recent history, marked by violence and repression, raises doubts about the regime's willingness to accept a change in government. The Armed Forces, a pillar of the Chavista regime, also play a crucial role. Maduro has emphasized his loyalty to the military forces, while González Urrutia has called on the uniformed personnel to respect the popular will. The influence of the armed forces in Venezuelan politics is a delicate issue that could determine the country's course after the elections. In conclusion, the elections on July 28 represent a critical moment in Venezuela's history. The tension between the desire for change and the fear of violence is palpable. The international community is watching closely, hoping that, regardless of the outcome, the will of the people is respected and that democracy may eventually prevail in a country that has suffered so much. The electoral process will not only define Venezuela's immediate future; it will also set a precedent for the country's recovery and its possible reintegration into the international community.

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